Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn
M.C.G.
11.6
72
13.12
90
Hawthorn won by 18 points
IN
Daniels
Green
OUT
IN
Grainger-Barras
Hartigan
Worpel
Burgoyne
Impey
Cousins
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 29.8 | -0.43 |
|
|
75% | 19 points | ✗ | 36.5 | -0.97 |
|
|
73% | 24 points | ✗ | 42.4 | -0.87 |
|
|
72% | 24 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
72% | 18 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.75 |
|
|
70% | 20 points | ✗ | 37.9 | -0.72 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 30.1 | -0.50 |
|
Punters
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 28.3 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 30.6 | -0.43 |
|
s10
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 27.1 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 25.7 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.4 | -0.23 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 16.5 | 0.05 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.