Carlton v Adelaide
Docklands
12.11
83
10.13
73
Carlton won by 10 points
IN
Newnes
Plowman
Petrevski-Seton
Murphy
Pittonet
Fisher
Newman
Parks
OUT
IN
Sholl
Brown
McPherson
Worrell
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 3.6 | 0.36 | |
72% | 24 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.54 | ||
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.53 | ||
71% | 18 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.50 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 6.9 | 0.47 | ||
67% | 23 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.42 | ||
s10
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.40 | |
Punters
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 3.7 | 0.39 | |
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.36 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.35 | ||
64% | 10 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.34 | ||
63% | 14 points | ✓ | 3.6 | 0.34 | ||
62% | 14 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.31 | ||
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.28 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 2.9 | 0.23 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 3.8 | 0.20 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 6.6 | 0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.