Brisbane Lions v Geelong
2021-06-24 19:30:00
Gabba

13.16

94

7.8

50

Brisbane Lions won by 44 points

IN

Payne

Zorko

Birchall

Mathieson

OUT

IN

Henderson

Higgins

Duncan

Narkle

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		59%	8 points	✓	35.8	0.24
		71%	18 points	✓	26.0	0.50
		70%	16 points	✓	27.7	0.49
		65%	16 points	✓	27.9	0.38
		61%	10 points	✓	34.0	0.30
		61%	11 points	✓	33.0	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	33.6	0.28
		61%	7 points	✓	37.5	0.28
		60%	11 points	✓	33.0	0.26
s10		60%	8 points	✓	35.7	0.25
		59%	7 points	✓	36.7	0.23
		56%	9 points	✓	35.0	0.16
		55%	4 points	✓	39.7	0.14
Punters		55%	4 points	✓	40.0	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	40.1	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	41.0	0.09
		52%	2 points	✓	42.5	0.05
		50%	0 points	✗	44.2	-0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.