Melbourne v Brisbane Lions
Sydney Showground
14.13
97
11.9
75
Melbourne won by 22 points
IN
Sparrow
Langdon
OUT
IN
Lester
Neale
Mathieson
Madden
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.3 | -0.11 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 36.4 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 32.1 | -0.44 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 31.9 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.22 |
|
s10
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.16 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.4 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.07 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
57% | 4 points | ✓ | 18.5 | 0.18 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.