Essendon v Richmond
Perth Stadium

12.12
84

19.9
123
Richmond won by 39 points
IN
Ham
Francis
Snelling
Zerk-Thatcher
OUT
IN
Pickett
Edwards
Nankervis
Ralphsmith
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
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60% | 10 points | ✓ | 29.1 | 0.27 |
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68% | 16 points | ✓ | 23.5 | 0.45 |
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66% | 17 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.40 |
Punters
|
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64% | 14 points | ✓ | 25.5 | 0.37 |
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64% | 18 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.36 |
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63% | 12 points | ✓ | 26.8 | 0.34 |
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63% | 14 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.33 |
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63% | 14 points | ✓ | 25.5 | 0.33 |
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62% | 10 points | ✓ | 29.3 | 0.31 |
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61% | 9 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.28 |
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60% | 9 points | ✓ | 30.1 | 0.27 |
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60% | 10 points | ✓ | 29.2 | 0.26 |
s10
|
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58% | 7 points | ✓ | 31.6 | 0.21 |
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57% | 7 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.18 |
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57% | 5 points | ✓ | 33.5 | 0.18 |
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53% | 2 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.07 |
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52% | 2 points | ✓ | 37.2 | 0.05 |
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51% | 2 points | ✓ | 37.5 | 0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.