Adelaide v Collingwood
Adelaide Oval
10.13
73
12.6
78
Collingwood won by 5 points
IN
O'Connor
Hamill
McPherson
Brown
Berry
Murray
OUT
IN
Lynch
Rantall
Elliott
Thomas
Grundy
Mayne
Brown
Wilson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 8.9 | -0.13 |
|
Punters
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 16 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 16.4 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.35 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.4 | -0.28 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 8.2 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.09 |
|
s10
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 7.1 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 6.9 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.5 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.20 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.4 | 0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.