Carlton v West Coast
S.C.G.
10.13
73
14.11
95
West Coast won by 22 points
IN
Dow
Fisher
Murphy
Gibbons
Casboult
Fogarty
OUT
IN
Foley
Edwards
Edwards
O'Neill
Langdon
Waterman
Kelly
Allen
Kennedy
Ah Chee
Brander
Jones
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 23.6 | -0.06 |
|
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 38.5 | -0.71 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 35.6 | -0.56 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 36.3 | -0.47 |
|
Punters
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 34.9 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 32.3 | -0.42 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.37 |
|
s10
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 27.4 | -0.20 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.04 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 17.2 | 0.13 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 15.9 | 0.16 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
59% | 11 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.26 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.39 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.