Port Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval
8.10
58
11.14
80
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 22 points
IN
Lienert
Trengove
Pittard
Ryder
Motlop
Bonner
OUT
IN
Buntine
Keeffe
Deledio
Corr
Griffen
Taylor
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 60% | 9 points | ✗ | 31.1 | -0.31 | |
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.54 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.51 | ||
65% | 11 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.51 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.40 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.37 | ||
61% | 14 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.36 | ||
Punters | 60% | ✗ | -0.34 | |||
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.29 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.25 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -0.21 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.16 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.