Port Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney

Adelaide Oval

58

80

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 22 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
60% 9 points 31.1-0.31
Port Adelaide
66% 14 points 36.0-0.54
Port Adelaide
65% 14 points 36.0-0.51
Port Adelaide
65% 11 points 33.0-0.51
Port Adelaide
62% 11 points 33.0-0.40
Port Adelaide
61% 14 points 36.0-0.36
Port Adelaide
61% 10 points 32.0-0.37
Punters
Port Adelaide
60% -0.34
Port Adelaide
59% 10 points 32.0-0.29
Port Adelaide
58% 8 points 30.0-0.25
Port Adelaide
57% 6 points 27.8-0.21
Port Adelaide
55% 4 points 25.9-0.16
Greater Western Sydney
52% 2 points 20.00.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 18, 2018