Port Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney

Adelaide Oval

58

80

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 22 points

IN
Lienert
Trengove
Pittard
Ryder
Motlop
Bonner
OUT
IN
Buntine
Keeffe
Deledio
Corr
Griffen
Taylor
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
60% 9 points 31.1-0.31
The Arc
Port Adelaide
66% 14 points 36.0-0.54
Swinburne
Port Adelaide
65% 14 points 36.0-0.51
Massey Ratings
Port Adelaide
65% 11 points 33.0-0.51
Live Ladders
Port Adelaide
62% 11 points 33.0-0.40
Graft
Port Adelaide
61% 10 points 32.0-0.37
Footy Maths Institute
Port Adelaide
61% 14 points 36.0-0.36
Punters
Port Adelaide
60% -0.34
PlusSixOne
Port Adelaide
59% 10 points 32.0-0.29
Stattraction
Port Adelaide
58% 8 points 30.0-0.25
Squiggle
Port Adelaide
57% 6 points 27.8-0.21
Matter of Stats
Port Adelaide
55% 4 points 25.9-0.16
HPN
Greater Western Sydney
52% 2 points 20.00.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 18, 2018