Essendon v Fremantle
Docklands
13.21
99
11.4
70
Match complete
Essendon won by 29 points
IN
Fantasia
Zaharakis
McKenna
Long
OUT
IN
Duman
Tucker
Johnson
Hill
Darcy
Nyhuis
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 76% | 25 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.60 | |
Punters | 86% | ✓ | 0.79 | |||
82% | 33 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.71 | ||
80% | 30 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.68 | ||
80% | 28 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.67 | ||
79% | 24 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.66 | ||
79% | 28 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.66 | ||
78% | 31 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.65 | ||
77% | 26 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.62 | ||
76% | 24 points | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.61 | ||
71% | 28 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.51 | ||
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.36 | ||
58% | 9 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.22 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.