Carlton v Hawthorn
Docklands
7.10
52
18.16
124
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 72 points
IN
Lobbe
Graham
Casboult
Weitering
Wright
Kreuzer
Thomas
Rowe
Lamb
Garlett
OUT
IN
O'Rourke
Worpel
Schoenmakers
Brand
Sicily
O'Meara
O'Brien
Duryea
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
80% | 32 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.68 |
 |
|
90% | 46 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.85 |
 |
|
89% | 39 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.84 |
 |
|
87% | 38 points | ✓ | 34.3 | 0.79 |
| Punters | |
83% | ✓ | 0.73 | ||
 |
|
81% | 30 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.69 |
 |
|
80% | 31 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.68 |
 |
|
77% | 26 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.63 |
 |
|
77% | 36 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.62 |
 |
|
76% | 31 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.61 |
 |
|
76% | 25 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.60 |
 |
|
76% | 28 points | ✓ | 44.5 | 0.60 |
 |
|
72% | 23 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.52 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.