Brisbane Lions v Adelaide

Gabba

88

93

Match complete
Adelaide won by 5 points

IN
McGovern
Talia
Walker
Hartigan
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
51% 1 point 4.30.03
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
60% 9 points 4.00.26
Punters
Adelaide
59% 0.24
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
59% 11 points 6.00.24
HPN
Adelaide
57% 6 points 1.00.19
Live Ladders
Adelaide
55% 4 points 1.00.12
Massey Ratings
Adelaide
52% 3 points 2.00.07
Swinburne
Brisbane Lions
51% 1 point 6.0-0.03
Stattraction
Brisbane Lions
53% 3 points 8.0-0.08
The Arc
Brisbane Lions
55% 4 points 9.0-0.14
Graft
Brisbane Lions
55% 5 points 10.0-0.16
Squiggle
Brisbane Lions
56% 5 points 9.8-0.18
Matter of Stats
Brisbane Lions
59% 7 points 12.2-0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 18, 2018