Brisbane Lions v Adelaide

Gabba

88

93

Match complete
Adelaide won by 5 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
51% 1 point 4.30.03
Adelaide
60% 9 points 4.00.26
Adelaide
59% 11 points 6.00.24
Punters
Adelaide
59% 0.24
Adelaide
57% 6 points 1.00.19
Adelaide
55% 4 points 1.00.12
Adelaide
52% 3 points 2.00.07
Brisbane Lions
51% 1 point 6.0-0.03
Brisbane Lions
53% 3 points 8.0-0.08
Brisbane Lions
55% 4 points 9.0-0.14
Brisbane Lions
55% 5 points 10.0-0.16
Brisbane Lions
56% 5 points 9.8-0.18
Brisbane Lions
59% 7 points 12.2-0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 18, 2018