Brisbane Lions v Adelaide
Gabba
13.10
88
13.15
93
Match complete
Adelaide won by 5 points
IN
McGovern
Talia
Walker
Hartigan
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.03 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.26 |
| Punters | |
59% | ✓ | 0.24 | ||
 |
|
59% | 11 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.24 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.12 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.07 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.08 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.14 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.16 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.8 | -0.18 |
 |
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.2 | -0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.