Geelong v Melbourne

GMHBA Stadium

100

98

Match complete
Geelong won by 2 points

IN
Cunico
Henderson
Buzza
Simpson
OUT
IN
Smith
Tyson
Hibberd
Hannan
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
56% 5 points 2.80.17
Swinburne
Geelong
69% 18 points 16.00.46
Squiggle
Geelong
67% 17 points 14.80.42
Punters
Geelong
64% 0.36
The Arc
Geelong
62% 10 points 8.00.30
Massey Ratings
Geelong
61% 8 points 6.00.29
Live Ladders
Geelong
60% 9 points 7.00.27
PlusSixOne
Geelong
57% 7 points 5.00.18
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
52% 3 points 1.00.06
Matter of Stats
Geelong
51% 0 points 1.80.03
Graft
Melbourne
52% 3 points 5.0-0.07
Stattraction
Melbourne
56% 7 points 9.0-0.19
HPN
Melbourne
61% 9 points 11.0-0.35

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 18, 2018