Geelong v Melbourne
GMHBA Stadium
16.4
100
14.14
98
Match complete
Geelong won by 2 points
IN
Cunico
Henderson
Buzza
Simpson
OUT
IN
Smith
Tyson
Hibberd
Hannan
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 56% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.8 | 0.17 | |
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.46 | ||
67% | 17 points | ✓ | 14.8 | 0.42 | ||
Punters | 64% | ✓ | 0.36 | |||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.30 | ||
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.29 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.27 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.18 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.06 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 1.8 | 0.03 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.07 | ||
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.19 | ||
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.35 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.