Geelong v Melbourne

GMHBA Stadium

100

98

Match complete
Geelong won by 2 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
56% 5 points 2.80.17
Geelong
69% 18 points 16.00.46
Geelong
67% 17 points 14.80.42
Punters
Geelong
64% 0.36
Geelong
62% 10 points 8.00.30
Geelong
61% 8 points 6.00.29
Geelong
60% 9 points 7.00.27
Geelong
57% 7 points 5.00.18
Geelong
52% 3 points 1.00.06
Geelong
51% 0 points 1.80.03
Melbourne
52% 3 points 5.0-0.07
Melbourne
56% 7 points 9.0-0.19
Melbourne
61% 9 points 11.0-0.35

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 18, 2018