Adelaide v Richmond
2026-08-08 19:35:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

9.9

63

7.12

54

Adelaide won by 9 points

IN

O'Brien

Laird

Peatling

Berry

Soligo

McAndrew

Nankervis

Borlase

OUT

IN

Clarke

Green

Trainor

Cumming

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		94%	52 points	✓	42.7	0.91
Aggregate		93%	53 points	✓	43.7	0.90
		98%	58 points	✓	48.6	0.97
		98%	61 points	✓	51.6	0.96
		98%	56 points	✓	46.5	0.96
		97%	49 points	✓	40.2	0.95
		96%	66 points	✓	56.6	0.94
Punters		96%	57 points	✓	47.9	0.94
		96%	62 points	✓	53.0	0.94
		96%	62 points	✓	53.0	0.94
		95%	57 points	✓	48.0	0.93
		95%	56 points	✓	47.0	0.93
		95%	44 points	✓	35.0	0.93
		95%	54 points	✓	44.6	0.92
		94%	54 points	✓	44.7	0.92
		94%	50 points	✓	40.9	0.91
		94%	43 points	✓	34.3	0.91
		93%	58 points	✓	48.7	0.90
		93%	53 points	✓	44.0	0.90
		93%	54 points	✓	45.2	0.90
		93%	52 points	✓	43.0	0.89
		93%	70 points	✓	61.0	0.89
		93%	47 points	✓	37.6	0.89
		92%	45 points	✓	36.0	0.88
		91%	50 points	✓	41.5	0.87
		91%	53 points	✓	44.0	0.87
		91%	45 points	✓	36.0	0.87
		90%	38 points	✓	29.3	0.84
		87%	42 points	✓	33.0	0.80
		87%	48 points	✓	39.1	0.79
		77%	45 points	✓	36.3	0.62

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.