Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn
Gabba
18.17
125
8.10
58
Brisbane Lions won by 67 points
IN
Annable
Gardiner
Zorko
McCluggage
Reville
Coleman
OUT
IN
Butler
Reeves
Lewis
Amon
Maginness
Macdonald
Greeves
Schubert
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 64.6 | 0.08 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 65.2 | 0.06 |
|
|
65% | 11 points | ✓ | 55.8 | 0.37 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 58.8 | 0.30 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 59.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
58% | 1 point | ✓ | 66.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✓ | 56.5 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 61.7 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 63.5 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 62.4 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 64.1 | 0.12 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 64.4 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 63.8 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 64.5 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 64.5 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 64.6 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 65.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 66.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 67.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 69.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 68.8 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 69.3 | -0.09 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 70.5 | -0.14 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 71.9 | -0.22 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 74.9 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 79.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 77.5 | -0.39 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.