Geelong v Essendon
2026-08-08 16:35:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

17.15

117

7.8

50

Geelong won by 67 points

IN

De Koning

Edwards

OUT

IN

Visentini

Perkins

Caldwell

Bryan

Clarke

Jones

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		96%	57 points	✓	10.1	0.94
Aggregate		94%	57 points	✓	9.7	0.91
		99%	63 points	✓	3.8	0.98
		98%	57 points	✓	10.2	0.97
		98%	62 points	✓	5.3	0.97
		98%	64 points	✓	3.5	0.96
Punters		97%	64 points	✓	2.9	0.96
		97%	58 points	✓	9.3	0.96
		97%	69 points	✓	2.0	0.96
		97%	68 points	✓	0.8	0.95
		96%	58 points	✓	9.4	0.95
		96%	60 points	✓	6.7	0.94
		96%	64 points	✓	2.7	0.94
		96%	68 points	✓	1.4	0.94
		96%	58 points	✓	8.9	0.94
		96%	54 points	✓	12.9	0.94
		95%	53 points	✓	13.8	0.93
		95%	68 points	✓	1.0	0.93
		95%	44 points	✓	23.0	0.93
		95%	56 points	✓	11.4	0.92
		94%	51 points	✓	16.0	0.92
		94%	55 points	✓	11.9	0.90
		92%	52 points	✓	14.8	0.88
		92%	53 points	✓	14.0	0.88
		92%	55 points	✓	12.1	0.88
		92%	45 points	✓	22.0	0.88
		91%	66 points	✓	1.0	0.86
		90%	45 points	✓	22.0	0.86
		90%	57 points	✓	9.6	0.85
		88%	44 points	✓	23.0	0.82
		79%	50 points	✓	16.6	0.66

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.