Melbourne v Fremantle
M.C.G.
17.11
113
17.7
109
Melbourne won by 4 points
IN
Turner
Chandler
Howes
Cross
OUT
IN
Cox
Pearce
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 13.2 | -0.36 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.1 | -0.36 |
|
|
83% | 32 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -1.56 |
|
|
74% | 25 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
71% | 16 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.80 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.66 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 16.5 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 18.3 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.52 |
|
|
65% | 11 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 15.4 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 16.2 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 9 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 14.6 | -0.42 |
|
Punters
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 14.7 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 13.9 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 9.8 | -0.28 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 11.2 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.5 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 12 points | ✗ | 15.8 | -0.24 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 7.9 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.9 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 6.4 | -0.10 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.3 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.1 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.03 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.07 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.