Adelaide v Collingwood
Adelaide Oval
11.8
74
16.12
108
Collingwood won by 34 points
IN
Maley
Murray
Walker
Keane
Fogarty
Cook
OUT
IN
Howe
Swadling
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.61 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 48.9 | -0.62 |
|
|
76% | 24 points | ✗ | 57.7 | -1.08 |
|
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
73% | 15 points | ✗ | 48.5 | -0.90 |
|
|
73% | 15 points | ✗ | 48.5 | -0.86 |
|
|
72% | 29 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.86 |
|
|
72% | 22 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
72% | 18 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.82 |
|
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 52.9 | -0.78 |
|
Punters
|
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.75 |
|
|
70% | 15 points | ✗ | 49.2 | -0.74 |
|
|
70% | 15 points | ✗ | 49.5 | -0.73 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 50.5 | -0.73 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
68% | 18 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 48.7 | -0.62 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 46.2 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 10 points | ✗ | 43.7 | -0.50 |
|
|
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 49.6 | -0.50 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 45.3 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 43.6 | -0.47 |
|
|
64% | 1 point | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 46.6 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.44 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 43.4 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 14 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 41.7 | -0.28 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✗ | 44.4 | -0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.