Hawthorn v Essendon
2026-07-25 16:15:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

19.18

132

5.9

39

Hawthorn won by 93 points

IN

Day

McCabe

OUT

IN

Cox

Setterfield

McKay

Blakiston

Caldwell

Duursma

Langford

Bryan

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		96%	57 points	✓	36.5	0.94
Aggregate		93%	53 points	✓	40.5	0.89
		98%	66 points	✓	27.3	0.97
		98%	54 points	✓	38.8	0.97
		98%	59 points	✓	33.8	0.97
		98%	60 points	✓	33.0	0.96
		97%	54 points	✓	39.5	0.95
Punters		96%	59 points	✓	33.9	0.95
		96%	66 points	✓	27.4	0.95
		96%	52 points	✓	41.3	0.94
		95%	54 points	✓	39.5	0.93
		95%	53 points	✓	39.8	0.93
		95%	56 points	✓	37.0	0.93
		95%	75 points	✓	18.0	0.93
		95%	44 points	✓	49.0	0.93
		94%	60 points	✓	33.4	0.92
		94%	49 points	✓	44.0	0.91
		94%	56 points	✓	36.8	0.90
		93%	53 points	✓	39.9	0.90
		93%	52 points	✓	41.4	0.89
		92%	50 points	✓	42.6	0.87
		91%	43 points	✓	49.9	0.87
		91%	49 points	✓	44.0	0.86
		91%	46 points	✓	47.0	0.86
		90%	43 points	✓	50.0	0.85
		89%	46 points	✓	47.4	0.84
		89%	51 points	✓	42.0	0.83
		86%	41 points	✓	52.0	0.78
		86%	51 points	✓	42.0	0.77
		82%	39 points	✓	53.8	0.71
		76%	43 points	✓	49.6	0.60

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.