Melbourne v Geelong
M.C.G.
14.13
97
18.9
117
Geelong won by 20 points
IN
Cooke
Cross
Laurie
McDonald
Petty
Turner
Windsor
Melksham
Jiath
Heath
OUT
IN
Bruhn
Blicavs
Holmes
De Koning
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 17.3 | 0.09 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.1 | 0.15 |
|
|
70% | 13 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.48 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.45 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✓ | 6.3 | 0.41 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.35 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.30 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✓ | 12.9 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 13.2 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 13.3 | 0.22 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✓ | 14.9 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.7 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 16.5 | 0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.5 | 0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.9 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.1 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.6 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.8 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.03 |
|
Punters
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 19.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 21.9 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 28.8 | -0.40 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.