Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide
2026-07-26 13:10:00 +10:00
Gabba

19.12

126

9.13

67

Brisbane Lions won by 59 points

IN

Watkins

Georgiades

Horne-Francis

Richards

Mead

Wehr

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		90%	42 points	✓	17.2	0.84
Aggregate		84%	35 points	✓	23.6	0.75
		97%	57 points	✓	1.9	0.95
		95%	46 points	✓	13.4	0.92
		93%	56 points	✓	3.0	0.90
		93%	41 points	✓	17.7	0.89
		93%	47 points	✓	12.1	0.89
		92%	44 points	✓	15.2	0.89
Punters		91%	46 points	✓	12.6	0.87
		90%	43 points	✓	15.6	0.85
		88%	44 points	✓	15.0	0.82
		88%	32 points	✓	27.1	0.82
		88%	42 points	✓	17.0	0.82
		87%	39 points	✓	19.7	0.81
		87%	36 points	✓	22.8	0.80
		86%	35 points	✓	24.0	0.78
		85%	38 points	✓	21.3	0.77
		85%	22 points	✓	37.0	0.76
		84%	35 points	✓	24.0	0.75
		83%	29 points	✓	30.5	0.72
		82%	30 points	✓	28.8	0.71
		81%	31 points	✓	28.5	0.69
		80%	27 points	✓	32.0	0.67
		77%	27 points	✓	32.0	0.62
		76%	30 points	✓	29.0	0.60
		76%	35 points	✓	24.0	0.59
		74%	22 points	✓	37.0	0.57
		74%	27 points	✓	31.8	0.57
		71%	18 points	✓	41.0	0.51
		71%	20 points	✓	38.8	0.51
		68%	29 points	✓	30.3	0.45

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.