Collingwood v Melbourne
M.C.G.
11.9
75
12.11
83
Melbourne won by 8 points
IN
Podhajski
Buller
Perryman
Sidebottom
Long
Parker
OUT
IN
Kentfield
Lever
McDonald
Laurie
Moniz-Wakefield
Jefferson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 12.9 | -0.19 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 13.3 | -0.19 |
|
|
68% | 12 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.62 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.61 |
|
|
65% | 17 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.53 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 19.9 | -0.53 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 20.7 | -0.48 |
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 9 points | ✗ | 16.5 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.41 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.1 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.4 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.1 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 10.5 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 9.9 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 10.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 9.7 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 9.9 | -0.06 |
|
Punters
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 8.8 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 8.8 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 8.3 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 8.4 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.1 | 0.02 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 6.4 | 0.05 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.4 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.