Adelaide v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
11.9
75
10.14
74
Adelaide won by 1 point
IN
Walker
Hall-Kahan
Rankine
Thilthorpe
OUT
IN
Wiltshire
Martin
Bowes
Humphries
Close
Edwards
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 10.3 | -0.38 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
73% | 18 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.90 |
|
|
72% | 15 points | ✗ | 16.3 | -0.83 |
|
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.75 |
|
|
69% | 15 points | ✗ | 15.8 | -0.71 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 16.1 | -0.60 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 13.9 | -0.52 |
|
Punters
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.4 | -0.43 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 8.9 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 10.2 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 8.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 9.8 | -0.27 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.4 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.4 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.1 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.5 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.2 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.1 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.07 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.