Gold Coast v Brisbane Lions
Carrara
11.9
75
15.16
106
Brisbane Lions won by 31 points
IN
Weller
Graham
Murray
Holman
Clohesy
Uwland
OUT
IN
Joyce
Tunstill
Brain
McCluggage
Coleman
Curtin
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.40 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 36.8 | -0.21 |
|
|
73% | 19 points | ✗ | 50.4 | -0.91 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 47.5 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 45.6 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.65 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 46.1 | -0.60 |
|
Punters
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 44.6 | -0.55 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 44.2 | -0.54 |
|
|
63% | 9 points | ✗ | 40.3 | -0.43 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 40.3 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 38.3 | -0.32 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 4 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 34.4 | -0.16 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 34.5 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 33.1 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 31.6 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 31.8 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 31.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 29.6 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 29.2 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 29.8 | 0.04 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.