Essendon v Carlton
2026-06-07 19:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

10.7

67

10.12

72

Carlton won by 5 points

IN

El Achkar

Jones

Redman

Durham

Gresham

Parish

May

Edwards

OUT

IN

Derksen

Weitering

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		80%	27 points	✓	21.5	0.67
Aggregate		78%	27 points	✓	22.1	0.65
		88%	33 points	✓	27.9	0.82
		86%	33 points	✓	28.2	0.78
		86%	34 points	✓	29.3	0.78
		84%	33 points	✓	27.7	0.74
		84%	29 points	✓	24.4	0.74
		83%	32 points	✓	27.0	0.73
Punters		83%	32 points	✓	27.4	0.73
		82%	32 points	✓	27.0	0.71
		81%	28 points	✓	22.9	0.70
		81%	29 points	✓	24.0	0.70
		80%	26 points	✓	21.4	0.68
		80%	28 points	✓	22.9	0.68
		78%	27 points	✓	22.0	0.64
		78%	22 points	✓	16.7	0.63
		77%	23 points	✓	18.0	0.63
		77%	26 points	✓	21.1	0.62
		77%	27 points	✓	22.0	0.62
		76%	19 points	✓	14.5	0.61
		76%	23 points	✓	18.0	0.61
		76%	23 points	✓	17.7	0.61
		76%	32 points	✓	27.0	0.60
		76%	26 points	✓	21.2	0.60
		75%	33 points	✓	28.0	0.59
		73%	26 points	✓	21.0	0.55
		73%	17 points	✓	11.5	0.54
		72%	21 points	✓	16.0	0.52
		71%	21 points	✓	16.0	0.51
		70%	19 points	✓	13.7	0.48
		69%	30 points	✓	25.1	0.46

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.