Melbourne v Greater Western Sydney
2026-05-31 15:15:00 +10:00
Traeger Park

9.16

70

19.5

119

Greater Western Sydney won by 49 points

IN

Mihocek

Moniz-Wakefield

Pickett

Lever

Jiath

Heath

OUT

IN

Whitfield

Taylor

Aleer

Riccardi

Buckley

Oliver

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		52%	2 points	✗	50.9	-0.05
Aggregate		52%	2 points	✗	51.2	-0.06
		83%	33 points	✗	81.7	-1.59
		76%	21 points	✗	70.0	-1.07
		65%	11 points	✗	59.5	-0.49
		59%	9 points	✗	57.5	-0.30
		59%	9 points	✗	58.0	-0.29
		59%	6 points	✗	54.6	-0.27
		59%	13 points	✗	62.1	-0.27
		57%	6 points	✗	55.5	-0.23
		55%	5 points	✗	54.2	-0.15
		54%	5 points	✗	54.0	-0.12
		54%	3 points	✗	52.1	-0.11
		53%	3 points	✗	52.0	-0.09
		53%	2 points	✗	51.0	-0.07
		52%	1 point	✗	50.5	-0.06
		52%	2 points	✗	50.5	-0.06
		51%	1 point	✗	50.0	-0.04
		51%	1 point	✗	49.5	-0.03
		50%	1 point	✗	50.0	-0.01
		51%	2 points	✓	47.2	0.03
		52%	2 points	✓	47.0	0.06
Punters		53%	3 points	✓	46.2	0.08
		53%	3 points	✓	46.0	0.09
		56%	5 points	✓	43.8	0.16
		57%	6 points	✓	43.1	0.19
		59%	7 points	✓	42.2	0.25
		60%	9 points	✓	40.1	0.27
		61%	8 points	✓	41.0	0.28
		62%	10 points	✓	39.3	0.32
		67%	12 points	✓	36.6	0.41

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.