Brisbane Lions v Fremantle
Gabba
10.18
78
15.13
103
Fremantle won by 25 points
IN
Berry
Answerth
Curtin
Tunstill
Marshall
McLachlan
OUT
IN
Pearce
McDonald
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 36.7 | -0.50 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 32.7 | -0.31 |
|
|
77% | 21 points | ✗ | 46.2 | -1.11 |
|
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 45.5 | -1.00 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.83 |
|
|
70% | 14 points | ✗ | 38.8 | -0.75 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 44.4 | -0.73 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 41.3 | -0.66 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 40.7 | -0.66 |
|
|
65% | 11 points | ✗ | 35.6 | -0.52 |
|
|
65% | 23 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 1 point | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.48 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 34.8 | -0.39 |
|
Punters
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 34.7 | -0.37 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 32.5 | -0.31 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 30.8 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 29.5 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 27.5 | -0.14 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 26.2 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 23.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 23.3 | 0.05 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.18 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.