St Kilda v Hawthorn
2026-05-28 19:30:00 +10:00
Docklands

9.13

67

18.11

119

Hawthorn won by 52 points

IN

Keeler

Tauru

Howard

Stocker

OUT

IN

Gunston

Day

Perez

Nash

Maginness

Ryan

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		69%	16 points	✓	36.2	0.46
Aggregate		67%	15 points	✓	37.3	0.41
		79%	25 points	✓	27.0	0.67
		77%	21 points	✓	31.3	0.61
		75%	20 points	✓	32.4	0.58
		75%	22 points	✓	30.0	0.58
		74%	16 points	✓	35.6	0.57
		72%	17 points	✓	35.0	0.53
Punters		72%	20 points	✓	31.9	0.52
		71%	17 points	✓	34.6	0.50
		70%	18 points	✓	34.4	0.48
		69%	13 points	✓	38.5	0.47
		69%	21 points	✓	31.0	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	35.0	0.46
		68%	18 points	✓	34.0	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	37.5	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	36.4	0.44
		66%	14 points	✓	38.1	0.40
		66%	15 points	✓	37.0	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	38.0	0.40
		66%	15 points	✓	36.8	0.40
		64%	12 points	✓	40.3	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	39.6	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	41.5	0.33
		61%	9 points	✓	42.8	0.30
		61%	15 points	✓	37.0	0.29
		60%	13 points	✓	39.0	0.27
		57%	11 points	✓	41.2	0.19
		56%	5 points	✓	47.5	0.15
		55%	5 points	✓	47.3	0.12
		52%	1 point	✓	51.0	0.05

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.