Western Bulldogs v Collingwood
Docklands
14.13
97
13.15
93
Western Bulldogs won by 4 points
IN
English
Cleary
OUT
IN
Membrey
Parker
Harrison
Anderson
Elliott
Moore
West
Hayes
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.12 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.09 |
|
|
74% | 18 points | ✓ | 14.4 | 0.57 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.4 | 0.30 |
|
Punters
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.1 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 5 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.17 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.2 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.7 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.7 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
53% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.5 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 6.1 | -0.10 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.