Essendon v Fremantle
2026-05-17 13:10:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

8.13

61

16.8

104

Fremantle won by 43 points

IN

Setterfield

Caldwell

Johnson

Sharp

OUT

IN

Scerri

McDonald

O'Driscoll

Young

Pearce

Wagner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		77%	24 points	✓	19.1	0.63
Aggregate		76%	25 points	✓	17.6	0.60
		89%	38 points	✓	5.0	0.83
		88%	41 points	✓	2.0	0.81
		87%	30 points	✓	13.0	0.79
		85%	40 points	✓	2.8	0.77
		85%	31 points	✓	12.5	0.76
		83%	27 points	✓	16.3	0.72
		80%	30 points	✓	12.6	0.69
		80%	25 points	✓	17.8	0.68
		80%	28 points	✓	15.3	0.68
		80%	29 points	✓	14.0	0.68
Punters		80%	28 points	✓	14.8	0.68
		79%	30 points	✓	13.0	0.66
		79%	25 points	✓	18.3	0.65
		78%	23 points	✓	20.0	0.64
		76%	32 points	✓	11.0	0.60
		76%	38 points	✓	5.0	0.59
		75%	22 points	✓	20.5	0.59
		74%	21 points	✓	22.1	0.57
		74%	21 points	✓	22.3	0.56
		73%	18 points	✓	24.8	0.54
		71%	18 points	✓	25.4	0.51
		70%	27 points	✓	16.0	0.49
		69%	16 points	✓	27.0	0.47
		69%	30 points	✓	13.5	0.46
		68%	16 points	✓	27.1	0.44
		66%	17 points	✓	26.1	0.40
		66%	13 points	✓	30.0	0.39
		66%	14 points	✓	29.2	0.39
		60%	10 points	✓	33.1	0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.