Carlton v Western Bulldogs
Docklands
10.14
74
9.8
62
Carlton won by 12 points
IN
Ison
Saad
OUT
IN
Emmett
Davidson
Lobb
English
Gallagher
Smith
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.40 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 24.3 | -0.44 |
|
|
78% | 28 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -1.21 |
|
|
78% | 30 points | ✗ | 41.7 | -1.21 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -1.00 |
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 33.8 | -0.89 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
72% | 18 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.83 |
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 32.8 | -0.81 |
|
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
66% | 12 points | ✗ | 23.8 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 24.5 | -0.54 |
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 21.9 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✗ | 26.6 | -0.46 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 17 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 21.5 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 17 points | ✗ | 28.6 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 19.8 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 19.1 | -0.26 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 16.7 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 13.4 | -0.05 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 7.9 | 0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.