Melbourne v Hawthorn
M.C.G.
18.12
120
12.9
81
Melbourne won by 39 points
IN
Turner
Rivers
Windsor
Moniz-Wakefield
OUT
IN
Hustwaite
Maginness
Dear
Morrison
Gunston
Barrass
Nash
Butler
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 56.2 | -0.74 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 55.8 | -0.65 |
|
|
84% | 31 points | ✗ | 70.3 | -1.61 |
|
|
83% | 29 points | ✗ | 68.2 | -1.54 |
|
|
77% | 20 points | ✗ | 59.2 | -1.14 |
|
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
75% | 17 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -1.03 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 62.6 | -1.01 |
|
|
75% | 22 points | ✗ | 61.1 | -1.01 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.82 |
|
|
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 59.7 | -0.81 |
|
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 58.4 | -0.80 |
|
|
71% | 24 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 55.7 | -0.71 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 25 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 13 points | ✗ | 52.2 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 57.3 | -0.60 |
|
Punters
|
|
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 54.8 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 52.3 | -0.55 |
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.46 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 48.8 | -0.41 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 50.1 | -0.38 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 14 points | ✗ | 52.7 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 45.5 | -0.27 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 46.1 | -0.23 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 42.9 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 41.8 | -0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.