Adelaide v North Melbourne
2026-05-16 13:15:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

20.13

133

9.11

65

Adelaide won by 68 points

IN

Butts

Nankervis

Fogarty

Thilthorpe

Murray

Bond

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		72%	19 points	✓	49.4	0.52
Aggregate		73%	22 points	✓	46.3	0.54
		86%	35 points	✓	33.0	0.78
		86%	38 points	✓	30.0	0.78
		85%	39 points	✓	29.0	0.77
		85%	36 points	✓	32.0	0.76
		85%	37 points	✓	31.2	0.76
		81%	28 points	✓	40.4	0.69
		80%	25 points	✓	42.6	0.68
		80%	28 points	✓	40.1	0.67
		79%	22 points	✓	46.2	0.66
		77%	22 points	✓	46.5	0.61
		76%	35 points	✓	33.0	0.60
		75%	22 points	✓	46.0	0.59
		75%	21 points	✓	46.8	0.58
		74%	18 points	✓	49.6	0.57
		74%	23 points	✓	45.1	0.57
		73%	21 points	✓	47.3	0.54
		72%	22 points	✓	46.0	0.53
		70%	21 points	✓	46.6	0.48
		68%	17 points	✓	51.3	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	53.0	0.43
		67%	14 points	✓	53.7	0.43
		66%	14 points	✓	53.9	0.40
Punters		65%	13 points	✓	55.5	0.38
		64%	16 points	✓	52.0	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	57.1	0.33
		62%	11 points	✓	57.0	0.31
		60%	8 points	✓	60.0	0.26
		59%	13 points	✓	54.8	0.23
		57%	5 points	✓	63.0	0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.