Carlton v Melbourne
2026-03-29 15:15:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

11.11

77

15.10

100

Melbourne won by 23 points

IN

Byrne

Evans

Fogarty

Lord

OUT

IN

Cross

McDonald

Rivers

Turner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		51%	1 point	✗	23.5	-0.02
Aggregate		51%	2 points	✓	21.2	0.04
		71%	18 points	✓	5.0	0.51
		66%	15 points	✓	8.0	0.40
		61%	17 points	✓	6.2	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	13.3	0.28
		58%	7 points	✓	16.0	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	17.2	0.19
		56%	6 points	✓	17.0	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	18.3	0.16
		55%	7 points	✓	16.0	0.15
Punters		54%	4 points	✓	19.3	0.10
		52%	3 points	✓	20.5	0.07
		52%	2 points	✓	21.1	0.06
		51%	1 point	✓	22.2	0.03
		51%	0 points	✓	23.0	0.03
		51%	0 points	✓	23.0	0.02
		51%	0 points	✓	22.6	0.02
		51%	1 point	✓	22.4	0.01
		52%	2 points	✗	25.0	-0.06
		52%	1 point	✗	24.0	-0.07
		53%	2 points	✗	25.2	-0.10
		54%	3 points	✗	26.2	-0.13
		55%	4 points	✗	27.3	-0.15
		55%	3 points	✗	26.0	-0.16
		55%	5 points	✗	27.5	-0.16
		56%	6 points	✗	28.7	-0.17
		60%	8 points	✗	30.7	-0.32
		62%	8 points	✗	30.6	-0.39
		63%	9 points	✗	32.0	-0.42

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.