Geelong v Adelaide
2026-03-26 19:30:00 +11:00
Kardinia Park

9.14

68

9.6

60

Geelong won by 8 points

IN

Wiltshire

Henry

Dangerfield

Close

OUT

IN

Maley

Bond

Taylor

Nankervis

Dawson

Laird

Walker

Ah Chee

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		75%	22 points	✓	14.4	0.58
Aggregate		69%	17 points	✓	9.3	0.45
		88%	42 points	✓	34.0	0.82
		85%	34 points	✓	25.8	0.76
		81%	27 points	✓	19.1	0.70
		80%	30 points	✓	22.0	0.69
Punters		78%	25 points	✓	17.0	0.65
		76%	20 points	✓	11.5	0.61
		75%	23 points	✓	14.9	0.59
		74%	25 points	✓	16.6	0.56
		73%	17 points	✓	8.8	0.55
		72%	18 points	✓	10.2	0.53
		72%	25 points	✓	17.0	0.53
		72%	27 points	✓	18.9	0.52
		69%	20 points	✓	12.3	0.46
		68%	16 points	✓	8.0	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	6.6	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	6.5	0.43
		65%	12 points	✓	4.0	0.38
		64%	14 points	✓	6.0	0.36
		64%	10 points	✓	2.4	0.35
		62%	18 points	✓	10.2	0.30
		62%	1 point	✓	7.0	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	1.5	0.28
		61%	9 points	✓	1.0	0.28
		59%	9 points	✓	0.6	0.23
		57%	10 points	✓	2.0	0.20
		57%	7 points	✓	1.0	0.19
		55%	5 points	✓	3.0	0.14
		54%	3 points	✓	4.8	0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.