Essendon v North Melbourne
Docklands
9.15
69
12.9
81
North Melbourne won by 12 points
IN
Farrow
Day-Wicks
El-Hawli
May
Guelfi
Gresham
Redman
Fiorini
Nguyen
El Achkar
Kondogiannis
Sharp
OUT
IN
Coleman-Jones
Corr
Wardlaw
Darling
Logue
Konstanty
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.38 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.29 |
|
|
74% | 17 points | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.57 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✓ | 6.6 | 0.53 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✓ | 7.2 | 0.52 |
|
|
71% | 17 points | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.51 |
|
|
68% | 19 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.44 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.44 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.42 |
|
Punters
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 3.7 | 0.41 |
|
|
65% | 23 points | ✓ | 10.8 | 0.37 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.36 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.36 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.35 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.8 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.9 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 2.8 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 3.1 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.17 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.13 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.