St Kilda v Brisbane Lions
2026-03-28 12:35:00 +11:00
Docklands

11.14

80

17.11

113

Brisbane Lions won by 33 points

IN

Butler

Howard

Caminiti

Boxshall

OUT

IN

Gardiner

Morris

Bailey

Tunstill

Zakostelsky

Annable

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		62%	10 points	✓	22.6	0.32
Aggregate		64%	12 points	✓	20.6	0.34
		85%	33 points	✓	0.0	0.76
		76%	24 points	✓	9.0	0.60
		73%	22 points	✓	11.0	0.55
		73%	17 points	✓	16.4	0.55
		72%	24 points	✓	9.5	0.53
		71%	22 points	✓	11.0	0.51
		71%	18 points	✓	15.0	0.50
		70%	22 points	✓	11.0	0.49
		69%	19 points	✓	14.0	0.46
		68%	17 points	✓	15.7	0.44
		68%	13 points	✓	20.4	0.44
		68%	14 points	✓	19.2	0.44
		65%	13 points	✓	20.1	0.37
		64%	17 points	✓	16.3	0.35
		63%	9 points	✓	24.1	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	22.7	0.32
		62%	10 points	✓	23.5	0.30
		60%	8 points	✓	25.2	0.27
Punters		59%	10 points	✓	23.5	0.23
		57%	6 points	✓	27.2	0.19
		56%	5 points	✓	28.1	0.16
		54%	6 points	✓	27.0	0.11
		54%	4 points	✓	29.0	0.11
		53%	4 points	✓	29.5	0.09
		52%	2 points	✓	30.8	0.07
		52%	3 points	✓	30.5	0.06
		52%	1 point	✓	31.7	0.05
		51%	1 point	✗	34.0	-0.02

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.