Geelong v Brisbane Lions
2025-09-05 19:40:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

16.16

112

11.8

74

QUALIFYING FINAL

Geelong won by 38 points

IN

Clark

O'Connor

Neale

Stanley

Bews

Knevitt

OUT

IN

Berry

Neale

Reville

Tunstill

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		63%	12 points	✓	25.7	0.32
Aggregate		63%	12 points	✓	25.7	0.33
		72%	20 points	✓	18.1	0.53
		71%	17 points	✓	20.6	0.52
		71%	23 points	✓	15.0	0.51
		69%	20 points	✓	18.0	0.46
		69%	18 points	✓	19.6	0.46
		69%	20 points	✓	17.8	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	23.0	0.44
		68%	11 points	✓	27.0	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	22.2	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	22.5	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	22.7	0.41
		67%	22 points	✓	16.0	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	24.5	0.39
		65%	15 points	✓	23.0	0.38
		64%	14 points	✓	24.4	0.35
		63%	10 points	✓	28.4	0.33
		61%	11 points	✓	27.3	0.28
		59%	9 points	✓	28.6	0.25
Punters		57%	5 points	✓	32.7	0.19
		55%	6 points	✓	32.4	0.14
		55%	8 points	✓	30.0	0.14
		55%	5 points	✓	33.0	0.14
		50%	1 point	✗	39.0	0.00
		52%	1 point	✗	38.6	-0.06
		52%	1 point	✗	39.0	-0.07

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.