Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn
Sydney Showground
13.10
88
16.11
107
ELIMINATION FINAL
Hawthorn won by 19 points
IN
Stringer
Hogan
Kelly
Wehr
Rowston
Gruzewski
OUT
IN
Butler
Weddle
Breust
Lewis
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 19.7 | -0.02 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.05 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.44 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 28.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 27.6 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 26.9 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.6 | -0.24 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.1 | -0.17 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.6 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 21.4 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.2 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.5 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 19.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 19.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 17.7 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.4 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.2 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.10 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 10.1 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.