Fremantle v Gold Coast
Perth Stadium
12.7
79
11.14
80
ELIMINATION FINAL
Gold Coast won by 1 point
IN
Dudley
O'Driscoll
Switkowski
Wagner
OUT
IN
Swallow
Rogers
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.1 | -0.07 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.3 | -0.05 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 16.9 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.59 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 7.8 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 4.8 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 4.9 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 2.6 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 2.5 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 1.7 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.3 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.09 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.6 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.8 | 0.12 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.8 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.14 |
|
|
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.40 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.