Adelaide v Collingwood
Adelaide Oval
8.7
55
11.13
79
QUALIFYING FINAL
Collingwood won by 24 points
IN
Pedlar
Michalanney
Dowling
Draper
OUT
IN
Parker
Cox
Howe
McStay
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -0.44 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 35.2 | -0.40 |
|
|
73% | 23 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.89 |
|
|
71% | 23 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
70% | 25 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.73 |
|
|
70% | 14 points | ✗ | 37.5 | -0.71 |
|
|
68% | 14 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.66 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 7 points | ✗ | 31.1 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.48 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 36.1 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✗ | 37.5 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 33.7 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 34.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 35.2 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 32.8 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 34.3 | -0.33 |
|
|
58% | 12 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 30.7 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 30.5 | -0.24 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 30.4 | -0.22 |
|
|
55% | 1 point | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 26.9 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.