Gold Coast v Brisbane Lions
Carrara
20.10
130
9.10
64
Gold Coast won by 66 points
IN
Farrar
Davies
Weller
Holman
Collins
Rioli
Clohesy
Swallow
Walter
Jepson
OUT
IN
McKenna
Bailey
Lohmann
Reville
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 74.2 | -0.30 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 74.2 | -0.29 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 83.3 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 14 points | ✗ | 80.0 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 80.8 | -0.62 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 80.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
63% | 8 points | ✗ | 73.9 | -0.45 |
|
|
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 79.0 | -0.40 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 76.5 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 76.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 75.5 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 11 points | ✗ | 76.6 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 74.9 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 75.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 75.3 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 76.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 73.7 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 72.2 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 76.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 71.6 | -0.23 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 70.5 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 70.6 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 69.9 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 69.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 69.2 | -0.10 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 68.4 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 67.6 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.