Hawthorn v Carlton
2025-07-24 19:30:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

13.7

85

9.7

61

Hawthorn won by 24 points

IN

Day

Maginness

OUT

IN

McKay

Acres

Evans

Young

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	19 points	✓	5.2	0.50
Aggregate		71%	20 points	✓	4.5	0.51
		82%	26 points	✓	1.5	0.70
		81%	22 points	✓	1.6	0.70
Punters		81%	26 points	✓	1.9	0.69
		80%	25 points	✓	0.7	0.69
		77%	24 points	✓	0.0	0.62
		76%	23 points	✓	1.0	0.60
		76%	23 points	✓	0.9	0.60
		74%	24 points	✓	0.0	0.57
		73%	29 points	✓	5.0	0.55
		72%	21 points	✓	2.6	0.52
		72%	20 points	✓	4.4	0.52
		71%	23 points	✓	1.0	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	5.1	0.50
		71%	19 points	✓	5.0	0.50
		70%	16 points	✓	8.1	0.49
		69%	21 points	✓	3.0	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	8.0	0.46
		69%	23 points	✓	1.0	0.46
		68%	19 points	✓	4.9	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	8.0	0.45
		67%	16 points	✓	8.1	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	9.0	0.39
		65%	12 points	✓	11.8	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	10.2	0.37
		61%	11 points	✓	13.0	0.28
		56%	5 points	✓	18.9	0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.