St Kilda v Melbourne
Docklands
15.6
96
13.12
90
St Kilda won by 6 points
IN
Schoenmaker
Collard
Jones
Wilson
Henry
Heath
OUT
IN
Spargo
Howes
Petty
Sparrow
May
Tholstrup
Sharp
Jefferson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.4 | -0.13 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.3 | -0.13 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.44 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 16.5 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 15.2 | -0.37 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.4 | -0.23 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.8 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 11.4 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.6 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.3 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 10 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.2 | -0.09 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 7.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 7.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.7 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.9 | 0.04 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.07 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.1 | 0.11 |
|
|
56% | 3 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.