Essendon v Western Bulldogs
2025-07-25 19:20:00 +10:00
Docklands

7.8

50

22.11

143

Western Bulldogs won by 93 points

IN

El-Hawli

Caddy

Goldstein

Duursma

May

Visentini

OUT

IN

Busslinger

Baker

Jones

Davidson

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		82%	34 points	✓	59.3	0.71
Aggregate		85%	39 points	✓	54.3	0.76
		97%	56 points	✓	36.6	0.95
		95%	53 points	✓	40.0	0.93
		94%	51 points	✓	41.7	0.91
		93%	52 points	✓	41.0	0.90
Punters		93%	53 points	✓	40.1	0.89
		92%	53 points	✓	40.0	0.87
		91%	40 points	✓	52.8	0.86
		90%	44 points	✓	49.0	0.85
		89%	46 points	✓	47.4	0.84
		88%	40 points	✓	52.7	0.82
		88%	42 points	✓	50.6	0.82
		88%	37 points	✓	56.2	0.81
		87%	35 points	✓	58.1	0.80
		87%	44 points	✓	49.4	0.80
		87%	39 points	✓	53.5	0.79
		85%	51 points	✓	42.0	0.76
		84%	38 points	✓	55.0	0.75
		84%	34 points	✓	59.5	0.74
		82%	33 points	✓	60.0	0.71
		81%	36 points	✓	56.6	0.69
		80%	34 points	✓	59.1	0.68
		80%	29 points	✓	64.0	0.67
		74%	21 points	✓	72.0	0.56
		68%	15 points	✓	77.6	0.45
		66%	16 points	✓	77.0	0.41
		63%	13 points	✓	79.7	0.33

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.