Port Adelaide v Carlton
Adelaide Oval
16.14
110
8.12
60
Port Adelaide won by 50 points
IN
Jackson
Evans
Boak
Aliir
Burton
Mead
Finlayson
Moraes
OUT
IN
Young
Wilson
Young
Boyd
Pittonet
Durdin
Carroll
Binns
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 49.1 | 0.04 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 49.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.41 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
55% | 1 point | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 44.9 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 45.1 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 47.2 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.10 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 47.9 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 48.8 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 49.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 49.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 50.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 51.5 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 51.5 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 52.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 54.9 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 53.8 | -0.12 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 53.5 | -0.14 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 54.9 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 55.5 | -0.19 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 55.6 | -0.20 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 58.5 | -0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.