Hawthorn v North Melbourne @ York Park

23.12

150

9.11

Hawthorn won by 85 points

Mackenzie

Hustwaite

OUT

Dawson

Comben

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	81%	32 points	✓	52.9	0.70
Aggregate	81%	31 points	✓	54.0	0.69
	91%	43 points	✓	41.6	0.86
	89%	37 points	✓	48.0	0.83
	89%	39 points	✓	46.0	0.83
	88%	37 points	✓	48.0	0.82
Punters	86%	31 points	✓	53.8	0.79
	86%	33 points	✓	52.5	0.77
	85%	35 points	✓	50.0	0.76
	84%	40 points	✓	44.7	0.75
	84%	38 points	✓	47.0	0.75
	83%	32 points	✓	53.0	0.74
	83%	35 points	✓	50.0	0.73
	82%	35 points	✓	50.4	0.72
	82%	33 points	✓	51.8	0.71
	82%	38 points	✓	47.0	0.71
	80%	31 points	✓	54.2	0.68
	80%	30 points	✓	55.1	0.68
	80%	25 points	✓	59.7	0.68
	79%	27 points	✓	58.3	0.65
	78%	26 points	✓	59.0	0.64
	78%	35 points	✓	50.0	0.64
	77%	26 points	✓	59.2	0.62
	75%	24 points	✓	60.9	0.59
	72%	24 points	✓	61.5	0.52
	70%	25 points	✓	60.0	0.49
	69%	11 points	✓	73.8	0.46
	67%	17 points	✓	67.9	0.41

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.