Richmond v Adelaide
2025-06-29 15:15:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

8.6

54

18.14

122

Adelaide won by 68 points

IN

Blight

Lefau

Smith

Sims

OUT

IN

Peatling

Pedlar

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		81%	33 points	✓	34.6	0.70
Aggregate		82%	33 points	✓	34.6	0.72
		94%	41 points	✓	27.0	0.91
		93%	45 points	✓	23.4	0.90
		91%	48 points	✓	20.0	0.86
		90%	43 points	✓	24.9	0.85
		88%	45 points	✓	23.2	0.82
Punters		88%	38 points	✓	30.1	0.81
		87%	35 points	✓	33.5	0.79
		85%	26 points	✓	41.9	0.77
		85%	37 points	✓	30.7	0.77
		84%	36 points	✓	32.4	0.75
		84%	46 points	✓	22.0	0.75
		84%	36 points	✓	32.0	0.75
		82%	28 points	✓	40.2	0.72
		82%	29 points	✓	38.8	0.71
		81%	33 points	✓	35.3	0.70
		80%	36 points	✓	32.2	0.69
		80%	31 points	✓	36.6	0.69
		80%	33 points	✓	35.0	0.68
		80%	39 points	✓	29.0	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	39.7	0.65
		78%	25 points	✓	42.6	0.64
		78%	25 points	✓	43.0	0.63
		77%	26 points	✓	42.0	0.63
		76%	28 points	✓	39.9	0.60
		71%	20 points	✓	47.8	0.51
		60%	10 points	✓	57.7	0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.