Gold Coast v Melbourne
2025-06-28 13:20:00 +10:00
Carrara

15.14

104

12.13

85

Gold Coast won by 19 points

IN

Sexton

Holman

OUT

IN

Jefferson

Sharp

Tholstrup

Lever

Windsor

van Rooyen

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	18 points	✓	0.6	0.51
Aggregate		71%	19 points	✓	0.1	0.50
		80%	25 points	✓	5.9	0.67
Punters		77%	22 points	✓	3.4	0.63
		76%	29 points	✓	10.0	0.60
		76%	27 points	✓	8.0	0.60
		75%	25 points	✓	6.0	0.58
		74%	22 points	✓	2.8	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	2.6	0.55
		73%	22 points	✓	2.5	0.55
		73%	22 points	✓	2.9	0.54
		73%	18 points	✓	1.2	0.54
		73%	19 points	✓	0.5	0.54
		72%	21 points	✓	2.2	0.53
		72%	18 points	✓	0.8	0.52
		71%	27 points	✓	8.0	0.51
		71%	12 points	✓	6.9	0.50
		70%	8 points	✓	11.0	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	2.0	0.48
		69%	18 points	✓	1.2	0.47
		69%	24 points	✓	5.0	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	2.0	0.46
		69%	19 points	✓	0.5	0.46
		67%	15 points	✓	4.1	0.42
		66%	17 points	✓	2.1	0.40
		62%	12 points	✓	7.4	0.31
		60%	8 points	✓	10.8	0.26
		58%	8 points	✓	10.8	0.22

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.