Port Adelaide v Melbourne
Adelaide Oval
14.9
93
9.14
68
Port Adelaide won by 25 points
IN
Liddy
Sweet
Horne-Francis
Boak
Finlayson
Moraes
OUT
IN
Viney
Tholstrup
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 23.7 | 0.07 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 23.6 | 0.05 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.43 |
|
|
61% | 1 point | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 16.7 | 0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 17.7 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 18.4 | 0.18 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 22.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 22.3 | 0.09 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 23.3 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 23.4 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 24.6 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 25.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 25.5 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 26.2 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 26.6 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 27.3 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 29.4 | -0.09 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 28.5 | -0.12 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 30.2 | -0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.