Brisbane Lions v Greater Western Sydney
Gabba
13.18
96
17.5
107
Greater Western Sydney won by 11 points
IN
Day
Starcevich
Robertson
Gallop
OUT
IN
Rowston
Delana
Callaghan
Greene
Wehr
McMullin
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
75% | 23 points | ✗ | 33.6 | -0.98 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
74% | 22 points | ✗ | 33.2 | -0.92 |
|
|
86% | 38 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -1.81 |
|
|
83% | 29 points | ✗ | 39.8 | -1.55 |
|
|
83% | 32 points | ✗ | 42.7 | -1.54 |
|
|
82% | 32 points | ✗ | 43.5 | -1.50 |
|
|
81% | 34 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -1.40 |
|
Punters
|
|
81% | 27 points | ✗ | 37.8 | -1.39 |
|
|
77% | 25 points | ✗ | 36.2 | -1.09 |
|
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 35.7 | -1.05 |
|
|
75% | 25 points | ✗ | 35.8 | -1.01 |
|
|
75% | 27 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -1.01 |
|
|
75% | 22 points | ✗ | 32.6 | -1.00 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -1.00 |
|
|
74% | 22 points | ✗ | 33.3 | -0.92 |
|
|
73% | 24 points | ✗ | 35.1 | -0.87 |
|
|
73% | 10 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.86 |
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 31.8 | -0.83 |
|
|
72% | 13 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.82 |
|
|
70% | 15 points | ✗ | 25.5 | -0.71 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 24 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.68 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.67 |
|
|
67% | 21 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.49 |
|
|
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 23.6 | -0.41 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.